IBM CEO Doesn’t Think AI Will Replace Programmers Anytime Soon

IBM CEO Arvind Krishna has publicly disagreed with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s prediction that AI will write 90% of code within 3-6 months, estimating instead that only “20-30% of code could get written by AI.”

“Are there some really simple use cases? Yes, but there’s an equally complicated number of ones where it’s going to be zero,” Krishna said during an onstage interview at SXSW. He argued AI will boost programmer productivity rather than eliminate jobs. “If you can do 30% more code with the same number of people, are you going to get more code written or less?” he asked. “History has shown that the most productive company gains market share, and then you can produce more products.”