95% of Code Will Be AI-Generated Within Five Years, Microsoft CTO Says

Microsoft Chief Technology Officer Kevin Scott has predicted that AI will generate 95% of code within five years. Speaking on the 20VC podcast, Scott said AI would not replace software engineers but transform their role. It doesn’t mean that the AI is doing the software engineering job…. authorship is still going to be human.

According to Scott, developers will shift from writing code directly to guiding AI through prompts and instructions. “We go from being an input master (programming languages) to a prompt master (AI orchestrator),” he said. Scott said the current AI systems have significant memory limitations, making them “awfully transactional,” but predicted improvements within the next year.